This  report  examines turnout  (it consists of pdf files in a
self-extracting zip archive).

Abstract

        Concerns about decreases in turnout in off-year elections have
dominated discussions of the  upcoming election.  Data from  the 1990,
1992, 1994 and 1996 general elections for Los Angeles County indicate,
however,  that while  Republicans have  enjoyed a slight advantage  in
turnout in off-year elections throught this decade, the differences in
electoral  outcomes which are observed cannot be ascribed primarily to
differential turnout among groups  created by stratifying along party,
age  and  gender  lines.   Rather, the  dramatic  differences  between
outcomes in the 1992, 1994  and 1996  elections must be a  function of
the changing in ballot  preferences by  individuals within such groups
rather  rather  than the  change in the turnout by  individuals within
those groups.